Predictive Victory Dynamics is the no-combat event of Genshin Impact Version 7.1. You never fight. You study simulated matches, spend Victory Emblems on the team you think will win, and collect Primogems and Mora for taking part. Below are the dates (including India time), requirements, scoring and rewards, with the points where sources disagree.
Event Snapshot
| Item | Detail |
|---|---|
| Event | Predictive Victory Dynamics |
| Version | 7.1 (Natlan) |
| Announced | October 10, 2026 |
| Type | Battle prediction, no combat |
| Rounds | 8, released gradually |
| Prediction window per round | 24 hours |
| Currency | Victory Emblems |
| Where to start | Event board in Natlan, between NPCs Liliuo and Vigee |
| Story setup | Vigee, Liliuo and Wislawa use a Combat Simulator to model anyone’s odds of winning |
Dates And Times
The announcement lists times in UTC-4. India time is converted below.
| Phase | UTC-4 | IST (India) |
|---|---|---|
| Event start | October 11, 22:00 | October 12, 07:30 |
| Prediction period ends | October 19, 21:59 | October 20, 07:29 |
| Result announcement period starts | October 19, 22:00 | October 20, 07:30 |
| Result announcement period ends | October 22, 21:59 | October 23, 07:29 |
| Source | Dates given |
|---|---|
| Games & Chill (official dates in UTC-4) | Start Oct 11 22:00; predictions to Oct 19; results to Oct 22 |
| GameMarket | Oct 12 10:00 to Oct 20 03:59 server time; announcement period to Oct 23 |
| AllThings.how | October 12 to October 22 |
These line up once you account for time zones. October 22 is not a prediction deadline. Predictions close on October 19 (UTC-4), so you cannot start a new round after that.
Requirements
| Requirement | Source |
|---|---|
| Adventure Rank 20 or higher | Games & Chill |
| Complete Archon Quest Prologue: Act III, “Song of the Dragon and Freedom” | Games & Chill |
| Archon Quest Chapter VII: Act IV, “A Rekviem for the Underworld” | Recommended, not required (Games & Chill) |
| Reaching Natlan | Genshin Builds says anyone who has reached Natlan can join |
| No requirement listed | AllThings.how and GameMarket |
Sources differ here. Check the event page in your game if the board does not open.
How A Round Works
- Go to the event board in Natlan and press the interact prompt.
- Open the active round and pick a match.
- Read each team’s units: ATK, Max HP and skills are visible before you commit.
- Press Predict the Winner, choose a team, set how many Victory Emblems to place and press Confirm.
- Repeat until you have spent all Emblems.
- Wait for the round to end and watch the simulation. You receive a Prediction Score based on the result and how accurate your prediction was.
- Claim your participation reward under Prediction Rewards in the top right of the event screen.
| Rule | Detail |
|---|---|
| First round Emblems | 100, which can be split across matches (AllThings.how) |
| Round timer | 24 hours, shown as a countdown on the event screen |
| Missed round | Participation rewards for that round are gone once its window closes |
| Rounds unlock gradually | One visit near the start does not cover all eight; return as new ones open |
| Control over fights | None; roster and build do not matter |
Scoring And Support Rate
Each team has a Support Rate, the share of players who voted for it. A correct pick pays a multiplier based on that rate, so unpopular winners score more.
| Support Rate | Sample multiplier (Round of 16) |
|---|---|
| 90% | 25x |
| 75% | 30x |
| 25% | 105x |
| 10% | 200x |
The Support Rate locks at a cutoff time that was not specified, so multipliers can change until then. Samples come from AllThings.how and may differ in later rounds.
Bracket Layout (As Listed By One Source)
| Stage | Groups |
|---|---|
| Round of 16 | A, B, C, D |
| Quarterfinals | A and B |
| Semifinals | Single group |
| Final Showdown | Single group |
Only one group is active at a time. The same source says “16 battles across 8 rounds,” which does not match this four-stage list, so treat the bracket as unconfirmed.
Rewards
| Reward | Detail | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Per round participation | 20 Primogems and 20,000 Mora, no win needed | AllThings.how |
| 3 rounds milestone | 40 Primogems and 40,000 Mora | AllThings.how |
| 5 rounds milestone | 60 Primogems and 60,000 Mora | AllThings.how |
| Total event Primogems | 420 (preview figure, listed as a community estimate in some places) | GameMarket, Genshin Builds |
| Other items in the preview | Hero’s Wit, Sanctifying Unction, Mora, Talent and Weapon Ascension materials | GameMarket |
| Score-based objectives | Rewards for reaching Prediction Score thresholds | Games & Chill |
| Check | Result |
|---|---|
| 8 rounds x 20 Primogems | 160 |
| Plus 3-round and 5-round milestones (40 + 60) | 260 |
| Gap to the 420 figure | 160 Primogems, possibly from score-based objectives |
The sources do not say whether the milestones add on top of per-round payouts, and no official score thresholds were found. The 420 total is therefore not verified.
Other Version 7.1 Events Running At The Same Time
| Event | Dates |
|---|---|
| Anniversary Memories Album | Until October 18 |
| Resplendent Starlight | Until October 19 |
| Starlit Gala | Until November 3 |
| Carefree Snowball Fight | October 21 to November 2 |
| Overflowing Favor (double Artifact Domain drops) | October 26 to November 2 |
FAQ
Do I need strong characters? No. You only place Emblems.
Can I split Emblems? Yes, in at least the first round, per AllThings.how.
Do I have to win to get rewards? Participation reward is paid per round without needing a win. Score objectives need correct picks.
What if I miss a day? That round’s participation reward is lost.
When should I log in? Once each time a new round opens and before the 24-hour timer ends.